IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Chicago St.
Western Athletic
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-17.7	#345
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.4	#104
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-16.8	#346

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.9	#200

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.1%	0.5%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	0.1%	1.5%	0.1%
.500 or above in Conference	4.7%	11.5%	4.5%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	7.0%	3.0%	7.2%

First Four	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
First Round	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Ohio (Neutral) - 3.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 7
Quad 3	0 - 7	0 - 14
Quad 4	4 - 11	4 - 25

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	134	Ohio	L	56-75	3%
Nov 25, 2020	295	IUPUI	L	66-76	17%
Nov 26, 2020	13	@ Illinois	L	46-82	0.0%
Nov 27, 2020	309	N.C. A&T	L	65-74	21%
Nov 28, 2020	79	DePaul	L	55-80	1%
Dec 03, 2020	186	@ Eastern Illinois	L	57-76	4%
Dec 05, 2020	80	@ Northwestern	L	49-77	1%
Dec 09, 2020	76	@ Loyola Chicago	L	47-75	0.5%
Dec 15, 2020	188	@ Illinois St.	L	55-74	4%
Dec 18, 2020	189	@ Northern Illinois	L	52-71	5%
Dec 20, 2020	144	@ Drake	L	54-76	3%
Dec 22, 2020	71	@ Iowa St.	L	55-84	1%
Jan 08, 2021	231	UT Rio Grande Valley	L	62-72	19%
Jan 09, 2021	231	UT Rio Grande Valley	L	62-72	19%
Jan 15, 2021	177	@ Grand Canyon	L	56-76	5%
Jan 16, 2021	177	@ Grand Canyon	L	56-76	5%
Jan 22, 2021	271	California Baptist	L	64-72	24%
Jan 23, 2021	271	California Baptist	L	64-72	25%
Jan 29, 2021	286	@ Seattle	L	60-74	12%
Jan 30, 2021	286	@ Seattle	L	60-74	13%
Feb 05, 2021	291	Utah Valley	L	63-70	27%
Feb 06, 2021	291	Utah Valley	L	63-70	27%
Feb 12, 2021	340	@ Tarleton St.	L	63-69	31%
Feb 13, 2021	340	@ Tarleton St.	L	63-69	31%
Feb 26, 2021	337	Dixie St.	L	56-57	50%
Feb 27, 2021	337	Dixie St.	L	56-57	50%
Mar 05, 2021	92	@ New Mexico St.	L	47-74	2%
Mar 06, 2021	92	@ New Mexico St.	L	47-74	2%
Projected Record						4 - 24	3 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Western Athletic Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0	1st
2nd									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.3	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0						1.1	3rd
4th							0.2	0.7	1.3	0.7	0.1	0.0							3.0	4th
5th					0.0	0.5	2.4	2.3	1.0	0.1									6.5	5th
6th				0.1	1.5	4.6	4.2	1.2	0.1	0.0									11.8	6th
7th			0.2	3.6	7.7	5.4	1.3	0.1											18.3	7th
8th		1.1	7.7	10.4	5.4	1.0	0.0												25.7	8th
9th	7.0	12.3	10.0	3.9	0.3	0.0													33.4	9th
10th																				10th

Total	7.0	13.4	17.9	18.0	15.0	11.5	8.1	4.4	2.7	1.2	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0						Total

Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3	66.7%	0.0		0.0	0.0
12-4	19.5%	0.0			0.0
11-5	5.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.0%
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3	0.0%																							0.0
12-4	0.0%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																	0.0	0.0
11-5	0.2%		3.8%	3.8%		16.0																	0.0	0.2
10-6	0.5%		3.2%	3.2%		16.0																	0.0	0.5
9-7	1.2%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.0	1.2
8-8	2.7%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	2.7
7-9	4.4%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	4.4
6-10	8.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	8.1
5-11	11.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.5
4-12	15.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	15.0
3-13	18.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	18.0
2-14	17.9%																							17.9
1-15	13.4%																							13.4
0-16	7.0%																							7.0

Total	100%		0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	16.0																	0.1	99.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	5.3%